Financial solutions company Think Money have warned consumers to be careful over the amount of debt they incur over the festive season, in order to avoid potential debt problems in the midst of an economic recession.

They have also advised those consumers who do rely on credit to act early and tackle any debts before they have the chance to grow, and to be selective over the types of credit used in order to prevent the debts from becoming unmanageable.

For many families in the UK, including those who are usually comfortable financially, the Christmas season has become associated with debt. The tradition of spending large amounts of money on food and gifts has meant that large numbers of households fall into debt every year, even if it means spending a large part of the following year repaying those debts.

Indeed, a survey taken earlier this year by Savebuckets.com suggested that one in four Christmas borrowers were still repaying their Christmas debts in the following October – nine months after the money was originally spent.

A debt expert for financial solutions company Think Money commented: “In today’s society, many households actually expect to get into debt in order to get through the Christmas season – which can put them at risk of debt problems in the future. It’s much safer to focus more on how to avoid falling into debt – and with the right preparation and attitude, it is very much possible to do that.”

The spokesperson added that staying out of debt over the Christmas period does not necessarily have to mean cutting back on costs. “The households who are best prepared for the Christmas period are those who have thought about it long in advance and have been saving throughout the year. By saving just a relatively small amount each month, it’s quite possible to save enough to cover all the costs involved, without having to compromise.

“However, it seems that it is currently more common to pay with credit in the run-up to Christmas. This may have been fuelled by the relatively easy access to credit of the past few years, although due to the credit crunch, this may be a little more difficult this year.”

The spokesperson also said that the type of credit used can be crucial to consumers’ ability to repay the debt. “For those consumers who do rely on credit over the Christmas period, choosing the right form of credit is a simple step that can make all the difference.

“For example, it’s generally unadvisable to make large purchases on credit cards unless the buyer is absolutely sure they will be able to repay the debt in a short space of time. The APR on credit cards is typically very high, which means the debt can grow very quickly unless it is repaid promptly.

The Think Money spokesperson added that anyone finding themselves struggling with debt should seek debt advice straight away. “There are a number of debt solutions that can help to minimise outgoings and/or help to reduce debts, such as debt consolidation or an IVA (Individual Voluntary Arrangement). We urge anyone in serious debt to seek professional debt advice as soon as possible.”

Welcoming the recent fall in inflation, debt management company Gregory Pennington highlighted the significance of this drop to people struggling to manage their debts.

In October, the CPI (Consumer Price Index) measure fell from 5.2% to 4.5% – the largest month-on-month fall in 16 years. Having said that, the reading of 5.2% was the highest reading in 16 years, so even a reduction of 0.7% falls far short of returning inflation to a ‘normal’ level.

“Remember the Bank of England’s target for CPI inflation is just 2%,” said a spokesperson for the debt management company. “At 4.5%, today’s rate of inflation still means prices are rising more than twice as fast as the Bank would like – this reduction simply means that the speed with which things are getting more expensive is slowing.

“More to the point, CPI has been over the Bank of England’s 2% target ever since October 2007, so today’s consumers are still dealing with the cumulative impact of a full year of high inflation. And the timing makes that elevated cost of living particularly dangerous: today’s consumers are also dealing with record levels of personal debt, as well as rising unemployment.”

As a result, there are many people finding it hard to manage their debts: trying to stretch a shrinking budget further each month. “For anyone in that position, any decrease in inflation can’t come fast enough. They’ll be relieved to see some expenses – such as petrol – coming down, but many other things are still far higher than they were a year ago. A recent article in The Guardian, for example, reported that a basket of 24 staple items in the UK’s biggest three supermarkets now costs 17.8% more than it did last November.”

Looking forward to next year, it seems the Bank of England is expecting inflation to eventually drop below its 2% target, and perhaps as low as 1%. “This is good news for two reasons,” said the spokesperson for the debt management company. “Not just because it’ll mean prices are (relatively) coming down, but also because it could allow the Bank to cut the base rate even further.

“Clearly, a lower base rate could help many people currently struggling with their finances. People on tracker mortgages will see the most immediate benefit – many of them have already seen their mortgage payments drop by hundreds of pounds compared with July, when the base rate stood at 5.75%.”

Nonetheless, too little inflation can be as dangerous as too much – and we’re now facing the possibility of deflation in 2009. While economists agree that a short stint of deflation would not be a problem, any sustained period of shrinking prices could seriously damage the economy.

Deflation means a decrease in the price of property, shares and goods of all kinds. People therefore wait to buy expensive items, as it only makes sense to wait until the price comes down. Falling demand means companies sell less and are forced to reduce their workforce.

“It’s clear the Bank of England has a delicate balancing act ahead of it: when it comes to normal people managing their debts, deflation could be as big a danger as high inflation.”

Company URL: http://www.gregorypennington.com/

Following a week that saw perhaps the strongest signs yet that the economy is about to enter a recession, coupled with warnings from Bank of England Governor Mervyn King and Prime Minister Gordon Brown that a recession is very likely, financial solutions company Think Money have said that the loans market could still see signs of recovery in the coming months, so long as the Government’s bank bailout scheme is implemented successfully.

Recession fears hit a new high as figures from the National Office for Statistics showed the first drop in economic output in 16 years between July and September this year. Output fell by 0.5%, exceeding economists’ predictions.

If the British economy records another fall in output in the fourth quarter of 2008, it will be officially considered a recession – although many experts, such as the Ernst & Young ITEM Club, have expressed the opinion that we are already in a recession.

And at a meeting of business leaders at the Leeds Chamber of Commerce, Bank of England Governor Mervyn King said in a speech: “it now seems likely that the economy is entering a recession.”

Regarding the market for loans,  King commented: “We now face a long, slow haul to restore lending to the real economy, and hence growth of our economy, to more normal conditions.”

But a spokesperson for Think Money said that it is not the end of the road for the loans market. “It’s logical to assume that it may become more difficult on the whole to obtain loans, mortgages and other forms of credit – but that doesn’t mean it will be impossible to obtain loans for the duration of the recession.

“The Government’s bank bailout scheme is aimed at stimulating the market for personal loans as well as business loans, and the cash injections should give lenders increased confidence in their ability to offer loan products. The falling LIBOR rate is a good indicator that, in the short term at least, this has been working.

“It’s important to remember that financial institutions depend on interest from loans as a source of income, so lenders will have to remain as competitive as they can be in that respect.”

The Think Money spokesperson added that both secured and unsecured loans should be available in some capacity. “Lenders will feel more confident offering secured loans, as they are backed up by assets which act as a potential ‘guarantee’ to the lender,” she said. “In this respect, lender confidence isn’t so much as an issue as the lack of liquidity, which should hopefully improve with the bailout scheme, as well as any future base rate cuts.

“Unsecured loans may prove a little more difficult for consumers to obtain than secured loans, as they are often perceived as ‘higher risk’ by lenders, but it will still be very much possible – it may just take longer to find the right deal.

And the spokesperson was keen to emphasise the importance of loans advice in times of economic difficulty. “Speaking to a professional loans adviser can often make the difference when it comes to finding the best loan deals,” she commented.

“A loans adviser will talk through your financial situation in confidence, and will advise you on what you can expect in terms of the type of loan, interest rates, and the amount you can borrow. Once they have done that, they will be able to search the market for you, saving you valuable time and effort, and hopefully meaning you will end up with a loan that suits your needs.”

The deteriorating state of the economy should lead borrowers to review their finances as a matter of urgency, say debt experts Debt Advisers Direct, following the Autumn forecast from the Ernst & Young ITEM Club.

“Released on 20th October, the Ernst & Young ITEM Club Autumn forecast ‘sees an economy that has deteriorated dramatically in the last quarter and is now in recession’,” said a spokesperson for Debt Advisers Direct. “The good news, however, is that the recession is expected to be both short and shallow, with GDP rising – even if only by 1% – in 2010.”

“Even so, the impact of today’s economic downturn will be profound,” the spokesperson continued. “By definition, even a ‘shallow’ recession involves a shrinking of the nation’s economy, with the inevitable consequences: lower spending, higher unemployment, greater uncertainty about the future, etc.

“On an individual level, the threat of a reduced monthly income is likely to lead many to review their financial situation. This isn’t to say that economic gloom is a good thing, but everyone needs to stop and take stock of their finances from time to time, and reports such as this can provide a much-needed incentive to do so.

“It’s important for everyone – even people with no debts and significant savings – but for the millions of UK consumers in debt, it’s particularly vital. Many people in the UK have grown used to spending more and more of their monthly budget on debt repayments. In many cases, those repayments take up almost their entire disposable income, so if anything happens to their income, they could almost immediately face a whole range of consequences, from legal action to bailiffs and County Court Judgments (CCJs) – to say nothing of the damage to their credit rating.

“The important thing, of course, is to take action before it’s too late. Seeking professional debt advice is normally the best way to start – any borrower could have a wide range of debt solutions available to them, so it’s vital they talk to a professional organisation which understands every option and can provide impartial debt advice, tailored to their individual circumstances.”

An Individual Voluntary Arrangement (IVA) or debt consolidation loan, for example, could help someone cope with a reduced income – yet neither debt solution would make sense for someone who’s fairly sure they might lose their income (or a significant part of it) in the near future.

“A borrower who is working, but whose job seems to be at risk, may be better off with a flexible debt solution such as a debt management plan: if their income drops, they can ask a professional debt management company to talk to their creditors on their behalf, renegotiating their debt repayments as and when it becomes necessary.”

Different borrowers, in other words, will need to adopt different strategies to deal with their debts. “There’s no ‘silver bullet’ for debt. Debt management plans, debt consolidation loans, debt consolidation remortgages, IVAs, even bankruptcy – each has its place, but the debt solution that’s right for one person can be completely inappropriate for another. The key thing is to take the time to get the right debt advice before making any commitments.”

Following a study suggesting that the 18-34 age group are most at risk from the credit crunch, with many carrying significant debts, financial solutions company Think Money (thinkmoney.com) have advised people in this age group to take extra care with their finances as the prospect of a recession looms.

Furthermore, they added that debt problems are just as serious for people of any age, and should always be addressed as soon as they start.

The study, carried out by think tank Reform and the Chartered Insurance Institute, claimed that many 18 to 34-year-olds had so far experienced a “uniquely gilded life” which had given them a “false sense of security”.

As a result, they have “run up huge credit card bills, smashed their piggy banks and are now staring at a broken housing ladder”, the report claims.

The report dubs the age group the “IPOD (Insecure, Pressurised, Over-taxed and Debt-Ridden) generation”, and claims that one in five such people carry debts of £10,000 or more, while one in three have no savings.

The overall situation leaves the IPOD generation particularly vulnerable to the current state of the economy, with the report stating that they “have the raw skills to understand their position and the dawning sense of responsibility to do something about it (…) However they are hamstrung by a financial establishment determined to service the old and patronise the young.”

A spokesperson for Think Money said: “It may well be the case that many of the large numbers of younger people getting into debt do so because of a diminished sense of responsibility, brought on by comfortable living conditions and, until recently, relatively easy access to credit.

“But with the credit crunch ongoing and a recession becoming a very real possibility, a lot of younger people may be about to experience the kind of struggles that instilled an “instinctive fear”, as the report puts it, into people from previous generations.

“Whatever the reason, in the current economic climate, it’s more important than ever for people to tackle their debts now.  Especially with high-APR debts such as credit cards, it’s essential that those debts aren’t allowed to grow.

“There are a number of debt solutions designed to help people in different financial situations.

“For people with a number of smaller debts, a debt consolidation loan could help. A debt consolidation loan involves taking out a new loan to pay off all your existing debts, meaning you only have to repay one creditor instead of many. The interest rate is often smaller than your original debts, especially if you are paying off high-APR debts such as credit cards – although if you choose to lower your monthly payments by spreading them out over a longer period, this will incur more interest which could cancel out the benefit of a lower overall rate of interest.

“If you have a number of debts that you are struggling to repay, a debt management plan might be a better option. This involves speaking to a debt adviser, who will discuss your financial situation in confidence, and will then negotiate with your creditors to agree repayments based on how much you can afford each month. In many cases, interest and other charges can be frozen, reducing the total amount you have to pay.

“If you have more serious debts of over £15,000, an IVA (Individual Voluntary Arrangement) could get you debt-free in five years. An IVA involves making regular monthly payments to your creditors based on the amount you can afford to repay, and after the five-year period your remaining debt will be considered settled.

“However, be aware that an IVA requires approval from creditors holding a total of at least 75% of your debts before it can go ahead, and you may be required to withdraw some of the equity in your home in the fourth year of your IVA.

“Debt affects people of all ages, so we urge anybody struggling with debt to seek expert debt advice as soon as possible.”

Debt management essential as recession approaches

Following Bank of England Governor Mervyn King’s announcement that the British economy is entering a recession, debt management company Gregory Pennington have warned that financial hardship is likely to be widespread in the coming months, adding that the public should aim to get their finances in order and tackle any debts as a matter of priority.

Speaking at a business conference on Tuesday, Mervyn King told business leaders that the economy faces a “sharp and prolonged slowdown”, perpetuated by smaller take-home salaries, soaring living costs and limited access to consumer credit.

“We now face a long, slow haul to restore lending to the real economy, and hence growth of our economy, to more normal conditions,” he also said.

On a more positive note, King said that some of the factors causing inflation had “shifted decisively”, putting less pressure on the Bank of England to actively control inflation and instead giving them time to address other factors, particularly the cost of consumer lending.

And addressing those concerned about many lenders’ reluctance to pass on the Bank of England’s recent base rate cut, King offered his assurance that the cuts would eventually have an effect, but said: “It will take time before the [bank bailout] leads to a resumption of normal levels of lending.”

A spokesperson for Gregory Pennington warned of the dangers that consumers face as a recession approaches. “One of the biggest dangers is unemployment. Since there will be less money flowing through the economy, businesses will suffer, and many will be forced to make job cuts as a result – which restarts the same cycle.

“We may also see the availability of credit take a further hit, as lenders will be wary that the borrowers may be at a higher risk of losing their jobs than usual. However, the Bank of England are doing their best to ensure that cash flow within banks improves, so it remains to be seen how lenders will react to that as things progress.

“What we can be sure of is that it’s essential for the public to address any financial problems they may have, particularly when it comes to debt. Debt is a burden at any time, but carrying debts during such an uncertain time for the economy can be very worrying.

“If borrowers miss payments, the creditors may pursue the whole debts, which can lead to court action and even bankruptcy if they are unable to comply.”

The Gregory Pennington spokesperson said that there a number of debt solutions that could help people repay their debts and limit the pressure on their finances as the economy enters a recession.

“For people with multiple debts, a debt consolidation loan can help,” she said. “Debt consolidation involves taking out a new loan to cover your existing debts, meaning you only have one creditor to repay.

“Payments can often be reduced by spreading them over a longer period, although you can pay more interest in the long run. Interest rates can also potentially be reduced, especially if you are consolidating high-APR debts such as credit cards – but be aware that if you have extended your repayment period, the additional interest incurred can reduce the benefit of a lower interest rate.

“For more unmanageable debts, a debt management plan may be your better option. If you do this through an expert debt adviser, they will assess how much you can realistically afford to repay each month. After that, they will negotiate with your creditors for lower monthly payments and possibly a freeze in interest or other charges.

“For more significant debts of £15,000 or more, an IVA (Individual Voluntary Arrangement) might be more appropriate. This involves making monthly payments over a period of five years, based on how much you can afford. Once that five-year period is over, your remaining debts will be considered settled.

“However be aware that an IVA requires approval from creditors responsible for at least 75% of your debts, and you may be required to release some of the equity tied up in your home in the fourth year of your IVA.

“Before you make any decisions, it’s important to seek independent debt advice. A debt adviser will talk you through your situation and will be able to establish which debt solution is right for you.”

Gregory Pennington (http://www.gregorypennington.com/) are a financial solutions company based in Salford Quays, Manchester. The company specialises in a range of financial services, including mortgages, loans, debt help and advice (including debt management plans, IVAs, and debt consolidation).

Don’t Crash And Burn Your Motor Insurance Premium

• Insurance premiums could rise by over 601 per cent after an at-fault accident
• moneysupermarket.com reveals the best and worst professions for crashing

Motorists taking to the roads after an at-fault accident could see their insurance premiums hiked by over 60 per cent1, says moneysupermarket.com.

Research based on 10 million user quotes from the UK’s leading price comparison site shows bus conductors and GPs as the professions most likely to crash2. It also reveals motor insurance premiums could rise and hit consumer pockets hard as a result of having an at-fault claim.

Peter Gerrard, head of insurance research at moneysupermarket.com, said: “Being at fault in a car accident is terrifying enough for any motorist but with purse strings tightening all over the country a hike of over 60 per cent on premiums should make Brits think twice about running risks on the roads1. When an insurer risk assesses a driver, any history of accidents will no doubt mean motorists pay more.”

The research reassuringly shows driving examiners practise what they preach on the roads, with under 1.5 per cent responsible for motoring accidents. Au pairs and magistrates are also low offenders according to the research.

At the other end of the scale, bus conductors are the most likely to crash while in their own cars (almost one in six or over 16 per cent), and Brits with careers related to health and well-being are also popular culprits. GPs, speech therapists, psychologists, keep fit instructors and surgeons are all amongst the professions most prone to crash.

Peter Gerrard added: “Driving examiners are clearly used to being extra vigilant on the roads and take one of the top spots in the list of professions least likely to cause an accident - it’s encouraging that new drivers are in safe hands! Worryingly it is the healthcare professionals who seem to be releasing their work-related stress when behind the wheel.”

Financial Services Compensation Service Gives Fraudsters A Helping Hand

The Financial Services Compensation Service has just announced the mechanism for icesave customers to get their money back from the financially troubled Icelandic bank. The sad fact is however, that in doing so they have opened up the opportunity for fraudsters to target each of the 230,000 savers, worse still they have even told the fraudsters how to do it!

Proudly declaring that each of the savers will receive two emails and that they will have to login to their existing icesave account to nominate and give details of their alternative account which is to be credited with their savings. Creating an expectation that an e-mail will be received where the worried icesave customers must give away other banking details.

Whilst the banking code allows communication with customers by email, most banks actively discourage its use, as fraudulent emails giving fraudulent website links are prevalent throughout most email inboxes. “Putting savers who are desperate to get their savings back at this level of additional risk is inexcusable,” says David Holman, Director at First Cyber Security a company who specialise in assuring the authenticity of websites on behalf of consumers. Recent figures released by APAC’s, the UK Payments authority, show that 18% of people still select website addresses from emails they receive without realising that they could be giving their personal information to a fraudster.
“It is so easy to set up a copy of an authentic website and send out mass emails and have consumers believe them to be real” continued Holman. “Many major organisations that wish to protect their brand integrity and continue the trust they have built with their customers to their online experience, need to consider a failsafe method of building in trust and consumer confidence using the very latest third party trust mechanisms which are now available.”

- ends -

Notes to editor:

About FCS
First Cyber Security is a UK based company who have patent pending technology in the area of authentication of IP communication. The subscription service allows consumers to positively validate Company websites and warns them of fraudulent ones immediately, protecting their personal information from being stolen. Financial, retail and government organisations are seeing this service as a way to preserve their brand integrity and extend consumer trust to the internet. The service has no cost to the consumer.

For further details please call
David Holman at First Cyber Security on 08450 564232 www.firstcybersecurity.com

Or PR Contact: Yvonne Eskenzi at Eskenzi PR on 020 71832 832 email Yvonne@eskenzipr.com

Think Money welcome Energy Supply Probe

Financial solutions company Think Money have welcomed calls for energy providers to reconsider their prices following the Consumer Focus Energy Supply Probe’s findings about the industry, and added that many energy customers pushed towards debt by the rapid rises in energy prices stood to benefit from any agreement to reduce prices.

In their Energy Supply Probe, Consumer Focus, the new watchdog comprising Energywatch and the National Consumer Council, have called for “immediate action from energy companies to reduce their prices in line with falling oil prices”, adding: “This will be good not just for consumers, but for the whole economy.”

It is currently estimated by Consumer Focus that around 5 million British households are in fuel poverty – in which households spend 10% or more of their total income on domestic energy – with increasing numbers of people feeling the pressure of sharp rises in the prices of electricity and gas over the past year.

Wholesale oil prices have seen a huge drop in little over three months, down from around $147 per barrel in July to the current price of $66 per barrel. Drivers have experienced the benefits almost immediately, with the lowest unleaded petrol prices at 99.8 pence per litre at the time of writing, while airline’s fuel surcharges have also been cut, according to the BBC.

But prices of gas and electricity, which are traditionally closely linked with prices of oil, have shown no such reduction in prices – leaving many consumers “wondering why they are left waiting”, in the words of Consumer Focus chief executive Ed Mayo.

According to Consumer Focus, gas prices have risen by 51% since the start of the year, while electricity bills are up by 28% - meaning the average annual household energy bill stands at £1,308.

A spokesperson for Think Money said: “The existence of the Energy Supply Probe is of great reassurance to the millions of billpayers who have been hit with severe rises in energy prices over the past year, particularly those facing debt problems.

“There has been some justification for the price rises – oil prices stood at $147 per barrel in July, and wholesale gas has also experienced massive rises – but with oil now standing at less than $67 per barrel, and with petrol prices coming down, it’s unclear why domestic energy prices have not also come down.

“Billpayers will hope that the Energy Supply Probe, combined with Consumer Focus’ calls for immediate price reductions, will be enough to ensure that their bills become much less of a burden in the coming months.”

But the Think Money spokesperson added that the potential for forthcoming price reductions did not make existing debt an any less serious issue.

“We have seen increasing numbers of people pushed into debt by rising energy bills over the past few months. Because energy is an essential cost, those people with low incomes have been unavoidably hit hard by energy price rises, and many are finding that they can no longer afford to pay their bills.

“The problem is made worse by higher levels of unemployment, and a lot of people who previously had no trouble paying their bills are finding that they are getting into debt because they simply don’t have the spare income.

“We advise anyone struggling with debt to tackle the issue head-on and seek expert debt advice as soon as possible.”

Responding to the half-point cut to the Bank of England’s base rate, financial solutions company Think Money (www.thinkmoney.com) welcomed its already noticeable impact, and pointed to the implied likelihood of future cuts.

“There’s no question that we’re facing extraordinary issues today, both globally and nationally,” a Think Money spokesperson commented. “As a company, we were pleased to see the Bank of England taking this step – not just dropping the base rate, but dropping it by a substantial amount.

“Furthermore, we’re delighted to see major mortgage providers passing that reduction on to consumers. After so many months of negative news, this could make a big difference to many homeowners’ financial circumstances, as their variable rate mortgages drop from 7% to 6.5%.”

Anyone with a tracker mortgage, meanwhile, is sure to enjoy lower payments at once: The Times predicts immediate benefits for around 4 million people paying home loans that track the Bank’s base rate. ‘Those with a £150,000 mortgage’, it reports, ‘will see their interest-only repayments fall by £63 a month’.

“The same goes for other kinds of credit,” the spokesperson continued, “from secured loans to credit cards: people with tracker deals will certainly profit from the cut, and borrowers with SVR deals will be following their lenders’ reactions closely.”

New fixed-rate loans could also drop in price. “Now that the cost of credit has come down, lenders will be able to pass the savings on, giving their customers a better deal without placing their own profits in jeopardy – something which could have a profound impact on their stability at a time like this.

“Looking beyond the actual cut,” the spokesperson stressed, “it’s equally important to consider the implications – not just what the deal means, but what it says about the Bank of England’s assessment of our economy. First, the cut reveals how seriously it is taking today’s financial troubles. Second, it implies that the Bank is feeling more comfortable about inflation.”

As stated in the Bank’s news release about the rate cut: ‘The recent intensification of the financial crisis has augmented the downside risks to growth and thus has diminished further the upside risks to price stability’.

“In other words, today’s financial crisis has become more of a threat to the nation’s GDP – but on the plus side, slowing growth does tend to slow inflation too. The Bank may well have liked to postpone the base rate cut until inflation came down closer to the 2% target, but given the choice between letting the economy deteriorate and losing some ground in the fight against inflation, it chose the latter.”

As for the months ahead: “The latest BRC-Nielsen Shop Price Index (SPI) for the UK reveals that annual shop price inflation shrank to 3.6% in September, down from 3.8% in August. It’s encouraging to see inflation on the way down, particularly as it gives the MPC more leeway when it comes to future base rate decisions. Various influential bodies are calling for the Bank to make further cuts to the base rate – and there’s reason to hope it’ll be able to do that.”